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PoliticsLive15 Jul 2026

A name everyone knows — an opinion almost no one owns

52% unchanged · 27% more negative on leadership

Wave 47 · 600 respondents

The designate is familiar; the mandate is not. Half expect a confidence vote to pass anyway.

Scene

Most people can name the designate. Far fewer can argue for or against with any confidence — recognition without a formed view.

Takeaway

Roughly half expect Parliament to clear him. The rest are waiting for substance, not headlines. Leadership ratings moved more negative than positive on the news.

Method note

National panel, 600 respondents, Wave 47. Fielded within 24 hours of the announcement wave.

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